Ferrari Driver Fernando Alonso at the 2012 Malaysian Grand Prix Photo by ROSLAN RAHMAN/AFP/Getty Images |
The biggest factor holding back the car is the terrible qualifying positions relative to their rivals. Although we are only two races into this young season, Ferrari is one for four getting drivers into Q3 (Alonso at Malaysia) while their rivals at Red Bull, Mercedes and McLaren are four for four (with McLaren locking out the front row in each race). Lotus has almost matched the top three at going three for four, and even the mid-pack is doing as well as Ferrari. Poor qualifying usually translates into being in a poor position during the race and poor results. The changing conditions in Malaysia obviously mixes things up quite a bit, but even in these conditions the Ferrari was no match even for the Sauber of Sergio Perez who was consistently lapping close to a second faster during parts of the race even though Perez wasn't able to close out the race due to team and driver mistakes.
If Ferrari is going to turn this result into something other than a fluke of the weather they will need to push hard developing it over the next three weeks. The upcoming race in Shanghai will be a key test for the car, especially if it is a dry race. They have benefited from failures by other drivers and the weather to get where they are now. A good performance in Shanghai from Alonso will give the team greater confidence, but in truth the team needs to see a better race out of Fillipe Massa. As Massa stuggles, so does Ferrari. He needs to be able to not only turn in a good result, but show that he can match Alonso in pace even if the car isn't up to standards. Should Massa improve over the next three weeks and lodge a good result in China, Ferrari as a whole will have shown some good progress. They may not challenge the top three teams for a manufacturers championship but at least the season won't be a total disaster. Ferrari has many challenges ahead and little time to fix them. So was Malaysia a fluke or the true future of Ferrari? Only time will truly tell.